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	<title>Comments on: Credit rating agencies &#8211; are they junk?</title>
	<atom:link href="http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/</link>
	<description>Australian Libertarian Society Blog</description>
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		<title>By: Terje (say tay-a)</title>
		<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/#comment-45100</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Terje (say tay-a)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Mar 2008 06:35:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alsblog.wordpress.com/?p=540#comment-45100</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[JC,

My reading of Quiggins article was that he was saying that credit ratings should be applied with consistency. I didn&#039;t read his as saying that the rating agencies should go soft on governments. I agree that his usual ethos is pro-public sector for just about everything but I prefer to deal with the specifics of his article.

I know that credit ratings matter and I know they are for the wholesale market. However my point was that if they confuse me it is of no real consequence as I don&#039;t use them. However if they confuse the bankers and market makers that I rely on then that is a concern. You and Pommy work in the finance sector so if you two are either wrong or confuse that is a bad sign. If Quiggin or Terje is confused or wrong then that would be a point of note but not such a worry as neither of us are operatives in this sector of the economy. So the question in my mind is &quot;are those that use credit ratings clear about what they mean?&quot;. One would like to hope so. Quiggin seems to suggest that some fund managers and some regulators that rely on credit ratings are confused.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JC,</p>
<p>My reading of Quiggins article was that he was saying that credit ratings should be applied with consistency. I didn&#8217;t read his as saying that the rating agencies should go soft on governments. I agree that his usual ethos is pro-public sector for just about everything but I prefer to deal with the specifics of his article.</p>
<p>I know that credit ratings matter and I know they are for the wholesale market. However my point was that if they confuse me it is of no real consequence as I don&#8217;t use them. However if they confuse the bankers and market makers that I rely on then that is a concern. You and Pommy work in the finance sector so if you two are either wrong or confuse that is a bad sign. If Quiggin or Terje is confused or wrong then that would be a point of note but not such a worry as neither of us are operatives in this sector of the economy. So the question in my mind is &#8220;are those that use credit ratings clear about what they mean?&#8221;. One would like to hope so. Quiggin seems to suggest that some fund managers and some regulators that rely on credit ratings are confused.</p>
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		<title>By: JC</title>
		<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/#comment-45095</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[JC]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Mar 2008 05:50:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alsblog.wordpress.com/?p=540#comment-45095</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Terje:

You&#039;ve confused me. As far as I know sovereign debt has different meaning. It has to  as it can&#039;t be analyzed in the same way as say GE.

We&#039;re not talking about ratings that consumer’s use in deciding which banks they use, we&#039;re talking about wholesale type of insto&#039;s figuring out valuations etc. for securities or credit lines between themselves etc.

Quiggin’s suggestion that people move away from corporate bonds to sovereign supported debt is the biggest problem. Taking his suggestion to it’s abused conclusion would probably cause the collapse of the western world’s financial and most of Main Street as well, as it would mean even prime borrowers like GE are locked of the corporate bond market. 


When it’s all said and done the real fault with this credit mess can be put right back to the governing authorities in the US for causing this mess. They allowed interest rates to remain to low for too long. They pressured the banking system to lend to people that couldn’t afford to repay loans accusing the banking system of racist lending practices thereby planting the seed of destruction by loosening credit standards. Finally the semi government institutions distorted the market such as Freddie Mac etcetera. There was no bloody market failure. This was government failure.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Terje:</p>
<p>You&#8217;ve confused me. As far as I know sovereign debt has different meaning. It has to  as it can&#8217;t be analyzed in the same way as say GE.</p>
<p>We&#8217;re not talking about ratings that consumer’s use in deciding which banks they use, we&#8217;re talking about wholesale type of insto&#8217;s figuring out valuations etc. for securities or credit lines between themselves etc.</p>
<p>Quiggin’s suggestion that people move away from corporate bonds to sovereign supported debt is the biggest problem. Taking his suggestion to it’s abused conclusion would probably cause the collapse of the western world’s financial and most of Main Street as well, as it would mean even prime borrowers like GE are locked of the corporate bond market. </p>
<p>When it’s all said and done the real fault with this credit mess can be put right back to the governing authorities in the US for causing this mess. They allowed interest rates to remain to low for too long. They pressured the banking system to lend to people that couldn’t afford to repay loans accusing the banking system of racist lending practices thereby planting the seed of destruction by loosening credit standards. Finally the semi government institutions distorted the market such as Freddie Mac etcetera. There was no bloody market failure. This was government failure.</p>
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		<title>By: Terje (say tay-a)</title>
		<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/#comment-45073</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Terje (say tay-a)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Mar 2008 02:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alsblog.wordpress.com/?p=540#comment-45073</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If government and corporate debt are rated differently then comments #10 and #11 would suggest that they shouldn&#039;t be because in the first instance people like pommy assume they are and in the second instance people like JC are less than certain. People like me don&#039;t matter in this regard because I don&#039;t rely on credit ratings. I put my money in the bank with the best brand and the nicest tellers. Of course if pommy is right (currently he is outvoted by JC and JQ) then there is no problem. 

Of couse it wouldn&#039;t be the first industry to adopt obscure terms filled with pitfalls and contradictions ready to trip up the unwary. It reminds me of the term flamable versus imflamable.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If government and corporate debt are rated differently then comments #10 and #11 would suggest that they shouldn&#8217;t be because in the first instance people like pommy assume they are and in the second instance people like JC are less than certain. People like me don&#8217;t matter in this regard because I don&#8217;t rely on credit ratings. I put my money in the bank with the best brand and the nicest tellers. Of course if pommy is right (currently he is outvoted by JC and JQ) then there is no problem. </p>
<p>Of couse it wouldn&#8217;t be the first industry to adopt obscure terms filled with pitfalls and contradictions ready to trip up the unwary. It reminds me of the term flamable versus imflamable.</p>
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		<title>By: John Humphreys</title>
		<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/#comment-45071</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[John Humphreys]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Mar 2008 02:33:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alsblog.wordpress.com/?p=540#comment-45071</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I agree with that JC... and his statement was clearly misleading as the two ratings can&#039;t be compared. 

But in his next paragraph he mentions this himself, saying &lt;i&gt;&quot;Defenders of the current system say that sophisticated investors understand that the letter grades assigned to corporate bonds and municipal debt mean different things&quot;&lt;/i&gt;.

It seems as though JQ is aware of this issue and was using his first paragraph as a bit of rhetorical flourish to spice the interest of the reader. You were right to pick him up on it.

He goes on to make the relevant point that some investment requirements and advertisements fail to make the distinction, and this is potentially a problem. That&#039;s a fair point.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree with that JC&#8230; and his statement was clearly misleading as the two ratings can&#8217;t be compared. </p>
<p>But in his next paragraph he mentions this himself, saying <i>&#8220;Defenders of the current system say that sophisticated investors understand that the letter grades assigned to corporate bonds and municipal debt mean different things&#8221;</i>.</p>
<p>It seems as though JQ is aware of this issue and was using his first paragraph as a bit of rhetorical flourish to spice the interest of the reader. You were right to pick him up on it.</p>
<p>He goes on to make the relevant point that some investment requirements and advertisements fail to make the distinction, and this is potentially a problem. That&#8217;s a fair point.</p>
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		<title>By: JC</title>
		<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/#comment-45070</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[JC]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Mar 2008 02:27:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alsblog.wordpress.com/?p=540#comment-45070</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I don&#039;t agree, JH. Quiggin makes the case that Greece has a lower rating that the monoline. Read it again and see if you get the same impression.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t agree, JH. Quiggin makes the case that Greece has a lower rating that the monoline. Read it again and see if you get the same impression.</p>
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		<title>By: John Humphreys</title>
		<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/#comment-45038</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[John Humphreys]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Mar 2008 19:28:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alsblog.wordpress.com/?p=540#comment-45038</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Going from John Quiggin&#039;s comments, it seems that government and corporate risk is assessed differently. JC seems to confirm what JQ said. Though strangely, JC then accuses JQ of not saying it.

Though if JQ knows of the difference between sovereign and corporate assessments, his introductory paragraph is wrong, and he seems to be contradicting himself.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Going from John Quiggin&#8217;s comments, it seems that government and corporate risk is assessed differently. JC seems to confirm what JQ said. Though strangely, JC then accuses JQ of not saying it.</p>
<p>Though if JQ knows of the difference between sovereign and corporate assessments, his introductory paragraph is wrong, and he seems to be contradicting himself.</p>
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		<title>By: JC</title>
		<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/#comment-44988</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[JC]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Mar 2008 04:23:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alsblog.wordpress.com/?p=540#comment-44988</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Hi Pom:

I understand them to have a different classification when it&#039;s to do with sovereign debt compared to the rest.

 Then again i always tried to nod off at friday afternoon credit committee meetings. Ever go to one of those meets, pom. It&#039;s how I envisaged hell. I never thought of hell as frightening. I always thought it would a credit meeting on a summer day on Friday in NYC........ for eternity.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Pom:</p>
<p>I understand them to have a different classification when it&#8217;s to do with sovereign debt compared to the rest.</p>
<p> Then again i always tried to nod off at friday afternoon credit committee meetings. Ever go to one of those meets, pom. It&#8217;s how I envisaged hell. I never thought of hell as frightening. I always thought it would a credit meeting on a summer day on Friday in NYC&#8230;&#8230;.. for eternity.</p>
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		<title>By: pommygranate</title>
		<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/#comment-44984</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[pommygranate]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Mar 2008 03:55:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alsblog.wordpress.com/?p=540#comment-44984</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[JC

Quiggin is suggesting a move away from corporate debt which is of course bonkers. 

However, from memory, i do believe that the agencies rate in a uniform manner across different classes of debt, whether sovereign, bank or corporate.  A rating is simply the probability of you not being paid on time.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JC</p>
<p>Quiggin is suggesting a move away from corporate debt which is of course bonkers. </p>
<p>However, from memory, i do believe that the agencies rate in a uniform manner across different classes of debt, whether sovereign, bank or corporate.  A rating is simply the probability of you not being paid on time.</p>
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		<title>By: JC</title>
		<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/#comment-44974</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[JC]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Mar 2008 03:03:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alsblog.wordpress.com/?p=540#comment-44974</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here is what Quiggin says:
&lt;i&gt;&lt;This produces some absurd results. For example, Ambac, a mortgage insurer whose shares have lost 92 per cent of their value in the past year, is rated at AA by Fitch. By contrast, Greece, a Eurozone member country, is rated A. Does anyone seriously think the probability of default by Greece is greater than that for Ambac? And Fitch is conservative. Moodys and S&amp;P still have Ambac rated as AAA suggesting, to anyone foolish enough to believe them, that the probability of default is negligible.&lt;/i&gt;

He&#039;s bascially comparing corporate to sovereign ratings in the above comment. You can&#039;t compare. This is basic stuff.

Moreover he&#039;s actually suggesting as I said earlier that people ought to move away from corporate debt. This is a truly unique assertion to make even for Quiggin.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is what Quiggin says:<br />
<i>&lt;This produces some absurd results. For example, Ambac, a mortgage insurer whose shares have lost 92 per cent of their value in the past year, is rated at AA by Fitch. By contrast, Greece, a Eurozone member country, is rated A. Does anyone seriously think the probability of default by Greece is greater than that for Ambac? And Fitch is conservative. Moodys and S&amp;P still have Ambac rated as AAA suggesting, to anyone foolish enough to believe them, that the probability of default is negligible.</i></p>
<p>He&#8217;s bascially comparing corporate to sovereign ratings in the above comment. You can&#8217;t compare. This is basic stuff.</p>
<p>Moreover he&#8217;s actually suggesting as I said earlier that people ought to move away from corporate debt. This is a truly unique assertion to make even for Quiggin.</p>
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		<title>By: Terje (say tay-a)</title>
		<link>http://blog.libertarian.org.au/2008/03/10/credit-rating-agencies-are-they-junk/#comment-44967</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Terje (say tay-a)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Mar 2008 02:16:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://alsblog.wordpress.com/?p=540#comment-44967</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The way I understood Quiggins article he was not saying that at all. If he was trying to convey that meaning then he failed in my case. My understanding from my reading of his article is that the rating system is different for different classes of debt (eg government versus corporate) but many policies and regulations applying to investment funds etc are often built around an implicit assumption that ratings are equivalent across classes. Please quote what he said if it will help me to understand where you interpret him differently. I don&#039;t want to split hairs but at the moment I&#039;m not understanding your point. Of course it is possible that my interpretation of Quiggins claim is correct but that the claim is wrong.  

And why do you think I was changing the topic? What I said seems entirely relevant. If I&#039;ve got it wrong I&#039;m happy to have it explained.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The way I understood Quiggins article he was not saying that at all. If he was trying to convey that meaning then he failed in my case. My understanding from my reading of his article is that the rating system is different for different classes of debt (eg government versus corporate) but many policies and regulations applying to investment funds etc are often built around an implicit assumption that ratings are equivalent across classes. Please quote what he said if it will help me to understand where you interpret him differently. I don&#8217;t want to split hairs but at the moment I&#8217;m not understanding your point. Of course it is possible that my interpretation of Quiggins claim is correct but that the claim is wrong.  </p>
<p>And why do you think I was changing the topic? What I said seems entirely relevant. If I&#8217;ve got it wrong I&#8217;m happy to have it explained.</p>
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